Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 2.066291 2.387449 2.749375 3.188874 3.710032 4.310590 5.058354
2025-02-16 1.586827 2.006922 2.531828 3.242185 4.188049 5.417718 7.159533
2025-02-23 1.336346 1.793309 2.404718 3.295203 4.580137 6.399942 9.232051
2025-03-02 1.141952 1.604508 2.257404 3.265463 4.817613 7.176230 11.148810
2025-03-09 1.020092 1.491261 2.187946 3.320334 5.167963 8.160649 13.582897
2025-03-16 0.905097 1.368231 2.080624 3.290860 5.367699 8.926594 15.811285
2025-03-23 0.815579 1.270481 1.995557 3.277887 5.583020 9.745948 18.313984
2025-03-30 0.732547 1.171618 1.893776 3.217512 5.698534 10.398156 20.639976
2025-04-06 0.681302 1.118283 1.859646 3.267971 6.020781 11.494642 24.148393
2025-04-13 0.618095 1.036992 1.766612 3.195564 6.091720 12.099387 26.729182
2025-04-20 0.593291 1.019727 1.784446 3.334056 6.605584 13.726566 32.140656
2025-04-27 0.542781 0.950662 1.698991 3.256694 6.653784 14.339474 35.208686
2025-05-04 0.507713 0.911943 1.676651 3.327403 7.090444 16.070147 42.176421
2025-05-11 0.471230 0.867652 1.640638 3.370826 7.494723 17.884528 50.303663
2025-05-18 0.440646 0.830599 1.613171 3.426750 7.940076 19.932444 60.084349
2025-05-25 0.405835 0.780736 1.552236 3.395637 8.162331 21.447520 68.880612
2025-06-01 0.382454 0.751402 1.530674 3.453006 8.628474 23.805613 81.895495
2025-06-08 0.354766 0.709787 1.476755 3.422190 8.849316 25.501591 93.372677
2025-06-15 0.331285 0.674576 1.432645 3.408627 9.117506 27.442214 107.029175
2025-06-22 0.306918 0.634815 1.373194 3.345510 9.227213 28.900161 119.521772
2025-06-29 0.292167 0.614967 1.357991 3.398260 9.705755 31.824174 140.943489
2025-07-06 0.271242 0.578900 1.299543 3.322567 9.761079 33.224872 155.729305
2025-07-13 0.264220 0.574352 1.317812 3.467353 10.581036 37.896869 192.109951